امروز : 28 مهر 1396

What will the fate of JCPOA be

دوشنبه 15 آذر 15:55
The selection of Donald Trump , Regional silent war and congress laws are putting JCPOA in a great danger.
What will the fate of JCPOA be

Rapporteur-Farbod Dehghani : just seconds after signed, the criticisms from JCPOA were started. Even heavier from what we saw during the negotiations, from U.S MPs to some of their Iranian extremist counterparts and from Saudi Arabia to Israel, many persons expressed their anger over the agreement and tried to destroy it.

one of the more predictable features of Trump’s campaign was his criticism of the deal, known formally as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. The JCPOA is an agreement between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the P5+1 group (the U.S., Russia, China, the U.K., France, and Germany) under which Iran promises to never seek to acquire nuclear weapons and to slow its development of “peaceful” nuclear energy technology for several years, in exchange for a promise from Western powers to relieve sanctions imposed on Iran for years of noncompliance with its safeguards obligations under the Non-Proliferation Treaty. (1)

but as it seems, Trump can’t cancel or shred the agreement so easily, the atomic agency and many other authorizes from many countries even Americans themselves had declared many times that Iran had done all of it’s duties and was totally loyal to the agreement.

So if Trump, Congress or anyone else cancel the deal, it will only result to it’s self sanction and loneliness. of course European union and China and Russia will firmly stand against it too.

In recent weeks, Trump’s own team has issued more nuanced statements about their plans. Incoming Chief of Staff Reince Priebus said the nuclear deal was a “total train wreck” but acknowledged parts of it will be difficult to get out of.

In the new year and under a new president, Congress is likely to renew debate on imposing fresh sanctions against Iran, according to Mark Dubowitz, executive director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, who has helped lawmakers write previous sanctions legislation on Iran.

“My sense is a desire to move a comprehensive Iran sanctions bill, but I think the design of most of those bills, and design of any comprehensive bill, is going to focus on Iran’s non-nuclear activities,” Dubowitz said. (2)

 

 

resources: 1- https://www.lawfareblog.com/can-president-elect-trump-dismantle-jcpoa-its-complicated

2- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-12-02/shredding-iran-nuclear-deal-could-prove-harder-than-trump-thinks

 

 

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